Abbreviated pundit roundup: All eyes on Georgia

Extra on the decision and the GOP’s philosophy from Jamelle Bouie:

It’s value emphasizing the unhealthy religion and dishonesty on show right here. Not less than 140 Home Republicans say that they’ll vote againstcounting sure electoral votes on Wednesday. Amongst them are newly seated lawmakers in Georgia and Pennsylvania, two states whose votes are in competition. However the logic of their objection applies to them in addition to Biden. If his state victories are doubtlessly illegitimate, then so are theirs. Or take the cost, from Ted Cruz and 10 other Senate Republicans, that a number of key swing states modified (and even violated) their election legal guidelines in contravention of the Structure. If it’s true for these circumstances, then it’s additionally true of Texas, the place Gov. Greg Abbott, a Republican, unilaterally expanded voting, nonetheless meagerly. And but there’s no drive to cancel these outcomes.

The problem for Republicans is just not election integrity, it’s the truth that Democratic votes rely in any respect.

Charles Bethea at The New Yorker takes a deep dive into Georgia’s elections and turnout:

Bernard Fraga, a professor of political science at Emory and the creator of “The Turnout Hole,” instructed me that turnout tends to drop by forty per cent or extra for runoff elections. In Georgia, he defined, the drop-off is usually extra extreme amongst Democrats. However he didn’t anticipate this runoff to be typical. We’d see a drop-off as small as fifteen per cent, he advised. “However will that traditionally low drop-off be disproportionately Republican or Democratic?” he requested. “That’s what these teams on the bottom are attempting to resolve.”

Extra on Trump’s try and disenfranchise Georgia voters from Sasha Abramsky at The Nation:

It’s half shakedown and half lunatic raving, however it’s additionally merely pathetic. Trump will be heard wheedling and begging and bargaining. If there are 5 phases to grief, Trump, in defeat, is immersed in the entire first 4 concurrently. It’s more and more trying like he’ll by no means attain stage 5, acceptance.

On a ultimate be aware, right here’s David Graham’s evaluation of Trump’s election evening eve rally in Georgia:

the occasion was an opportunity—maybe one of many final—for Trump to experience a big marketing campaign rally, COVID-19 be damned. From the second he introduced his candidacy at Trump Tower in the summertime of 2015, he has beloved events like this one. They’re an opportunity for him to take heed to his personal voice so long as he needs, free-associating all the way in which, and to bask within the glow of adoration with out actuality intruding. […]

Now he’s getting concerned within the race, however it’s not clear whether or not his bull-in-a-china-shop strategy does extra hurt or good. By persevering with to say that the November election was rigged, he dangers dampening enthusiasm amongst Republican voters, who would possibly really feel that their vote gained’t rely. He has additionally exacerbated internecine battles inside the GOP. Tonight he promised to return to Georgia to marketing campaign towards Republican Governor Brian Kemp, who has declined to help Trump’s makes an attempt to overturn the vote within the state. (If he follows by means of, it’ll solely be as a result of that may give him an opportunity to speak about himself, not Kemp’s challenger.)

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