All informed, 50 p.c of voters mentioned they might vote for Mr. Biden in a head-to-head matchup, and 41 p.c mentioned they might vote for Mr. Trump. In an Monmouth ballot in April, Mr. Biden led the president by simply 4 share factors; in March, he led by three. The margin of error within the new ballot was plus or minus 3.6 share factors.
A big majority of voters — 86 p.c — have been conscious of the allegation that Mr. Biden sexually assaulted a Senate aide, Tara Reade, in 1993. Ms. Reade says he pinned her to a wall, reached underneath her clothes and penetrated her along with his fingers.
After Mr. Biden publicly denied Ms. Reade’s accusation on Friday, Monmouth added a query to the ballot already in progress, asking whether or not voters had heard concerning the allegation and whether or not they thought it was true.
Thirty-seven p.c mentioned it was in all probability true, 32 p.c mentioned it was in all probability not true, and 31 p.c had no opinion. The margin of error for questions associated to the assault allegation was plus or minus 4.1 share factors.
There was a big partisan divide in whether or not voters seen the allegation as credible. Republicans tended to say it was in all probability true, 50 p.c to 17 p.c, whereas Democrats tended to say it was in all probability not true, 55 p.c to 20 p.c. By two-to-one, impartial voters have been extra more likely to say it was true (43 p.c) than to say it wasn’t (22 p.c).
Amongst voters who mentioned they believed the allegation, 59 p.c supported Mr. Trump and 32 p.c supported Mr. Biden. Amongst voters who didn’t consider the allegation, 79 p.c supported Mr. Biden and simply 14 p.c supported Mr. Trump.
Mr. Biden was nonetheless seen extra favorably total than Mr. Trump: 41 p.c of voters noticed him favorably, whereas 44 p.c noticed him unfavorably. The president was seen positively by simply 40 p.c of voters, and negatively by 53 p.c.
In a hypothetical three-way race with Justin Amash, a candidate for the Libertarian nomination, Mr. Biden nonetheless led Mr. Trump on the poll — however by seven factors, not by 9. Mr. Amash, an impartial congressman from Michigan, about whom 81 p.c of voters nonetheless mentioned they’d no opinion, earned 5 p.c in that matchup, together with 10 p.c of independents.