Conor McGregor vs. Donald ‘Cowboy’ Cerrone odds, prediction, trends, prop bets for UFC 246

The bad boy of MMA is back in action for the first time since October 2018 this weekend. Conor McGregor will make his long-awaited return to the ring when he faces off with Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone at UFC 246. McGregor hasn’t won in the Octagon since beating Eddie Alvarez by TKO back in November 2016, but he is favored to knock out Cerrone at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday night. This fight will be shown on ESPN Plus with the main card slated to get underway at 10 p.m. ET.

Here’s everything you need to know to bet on the Conor McGregor vs. Donald ‘Cowboy’ Cerrone fight, including updated odds, prop bets and our expert prediction for UFC 246.

MORE: Get the latest UFC betting odds and trends from Sports Insider

Conor McGregor vs. Cowboy odds for UFC 246

  • Conor McGregor -335
  • Cowboy Cerrone +275
  • Total Rounds 1.5

McGregor is 21-4 as a professional fighter. He won 15 straight bouts from February 2011 to December 2015 to thrust himself into the spotlight, capping off that impressive run by knocking out Jose Aldo in 13 seconds to win the UFC featherweight championship.

McGregor wasn’t content with simply being the best featherweight fighter in MMA, though, making the decision to move up to welterweight to take on Nate Diaz at UFC 196. Unfortunately for McGregor, he lost that bout by submission, but he did avenge that defeat by beating Diaz by decision at UFC 202 later in the year.

His win over Alvarez earned him the UFC lightweight championship, but then he took a break from MMA to take on Floyd Mayweather Jr. and didn’t return to the Octagon until facing Khabib Nurmagomedov at UFC 229. Nurmagomedov showed why he is heralded as the greatest MMA fighter in the world by submitting McGregor, and “The Notorious” is gunning for a rematch.

Cerrone is one of the most legendary fighters in the history of UFC. He has won more fights as a member of UFC (23) than any other person associated with the premier MMA organization, and he has an all-time record of 36-13-1 in MMA. 

Although he has never held a championship belt, his personality and style have made him a fan favorite over the years. Three of his last four bouts have been labeled the Fight of the Night, but he is not as explosive as he was earlier in the decade. Cerrone has lost six of his last 10 fights, and he has lost four of those bouts by knockout. 

MORE: Conor McGregor predicts KO of Donald Cerrone, insists no bad blood

UFC 246 prop bets & prediction

Will Conor McGregor win by TKO or KO?

We have seen 18 of McGregor’s 21 victories come by knockout over his career, so the ‘Yes’ is an excellent option here. McGregor has tremendous power for a fighter his size, and Cerrone has been susceptible to knockouts over the last two years. Most of Cerrone’s victories have come by submission, but he has shown over the years that he is willing to go toe to toe with anyone. That works in the favor of those betting the ‘Yes’ option here.

Will Conor McGregor win in Round 1?

The oddsmakers consider it likely for McGregor to win by knockout, but it’s unlikely that he finishes Cerrone off in the first round. Cerrone was knocked out in the first round by Justin Gaethje in his last bout back in December, yet it took over four minutes for him to succumb to Gaethje’s punches. There’s probably going to be a feeling out of sorts between Cerrone and McGregor when they enter the octagon, so don’t expect a quick finish.

Will Conor McGregor carry an Irish flag during his walkout?

This is the easiest prop bet on the board. McGregor is constantly touting his Irish heritage, and he drapes himself in the green, white, and orange religiously. He has talked about what the flag means to him extensively during interviews and on social media, and it’s almost unthinkable to imagine him without the Irish colors draped around his shoulders.

Who will Conor McGregor call out first at UFC 246?

  • Jorge Masvidal -150
  • Khabib Nurmagomedov +110
  • Floyd Mayweather +1400
  • Kamaru Usman +1400
  • Manny Pacquiao +2000
  • Nate Diaz +2000

Nurmagomedov and McGregor have some legitimate bad blood, but it’s likely that Jorge Masvidal will be the person that McGregor challenges next, assuming he defeats Cerrone. Masvidal defeated Nate Diaz for the inaugural BMF Title back in November, and that’s a belt that McGregor certainly wants to add to his resume. 

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