Odds for NASCAR race at Atlanta: Knowledgeable picks & favorites to win Sunday’s Cup Sequence race

The percentages for Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Sequence race at Atlanta are influenced closely by what Kevin Harvick has accomplished on the 1.5-mile oval in Hampton, Ga., all through his profession, particularly lately. Our picks for Sunday’s race are impacted by the identical tendencies.

No one in Sunday’s subject has led extra profession laps at Atlanta within the Cup Sequence than Harvick (1,197 in 29 begins), and the winner of this race in 2018 is tied with Jimmie Johnson for the very best profession driver score (100.5) on the observe.

MORE: Full beginning lineup for NASCAR race at Atlanta

Mix these numbers with the truth that Harvick is the NASCAR Cup Sequence factors chief in 2020 with a series-best 5 top-five finishes and eight top-10s, together with one win, and it is simple to see why sportsbooks think about the No. Four Stewart-Haas racing crew the favourite for Sunday’s race at Atlanta.

Beneath are the Vegas odds to win Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Sequence at Atlanta, plus our high three picks of drivers who might find yourself taking the checkered flag.

NASCAR race odds to win at Atlanta

Whereas Harvick tends to run nicely at Atlanta, so does Chase Elliott, who will begin Sunday’s race from the pole primarily based on the outcomes of a random draw for beginning positions.

Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook, under are the whole odds to win Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Sequence race at Atlanta, beginning with Harvick and Elliott.

DriverOdds to win Atlanta race
Kevin Harvick+430
Chase Elliott+600
Kyle Busch+700
Alex Bowman+850
Joey Logano+900
Brad Keselowski+1000
Martin Truex Jr.+1000
Denny Hamlin+1200
Kurt Busch+1800
Ryan Blaney+1800
Jimmie Johnson+2000
Clint Bowyer+2800
Erik Jones+2800
William Byron+3200
Matt DiBenedetto+4200
Aric Almirola+5000
Matt Kenseth+5000
Tyler Reddick+5000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+7000
Austin Dillon+7500
Ryan Newman+7500
Christopher Bell+14000
Cole Custer+14000
John Hunter Nemechek+14000
Chris Buescher+18000
BJ McLeod+20000
Brennan Poole+20000
Bubba Wallace+20000
Corey LaJoie+20000
Daniel Suarez+20000
Garrett Smithley+20000
Grey Gaulding+20000
JJ Yeley+20000
Joey Gase+20000
Michael McDowell+20000
Ty Dillon+20000
Ryan Preece+20000
Timmy Hill+20000

Kyle Busch is available in with the third greatest odds to win Sunday’s race partly as a result of his Joe Gibbs Racing crew is discovering the velocity it was lacking via the primary few races of the season. Nevertheless, primarily based on profession driver scores, he is not even the very best Atlanta racer in his family.

Beneath are the highest 10 profession driver scores at Atlanta amongst these in Sunday’s subject:

  • Kevin Harvick, 100.5
  • Jimmie Johnson, 100.5
  • Matt Kenseth, 97.5
  • Kurt Busch, 96.9
  • Brad Keselowski, 96.6
  • Martin Truex Jr., 95.2
  • Denny Hamlin, 94.2
  • Kyle Busch, 92.7
  • Chase Elliott, 89.2
  • Joey Logano, 83.2

As famous, Elliott will roll off first Sunday, which is mostly useful at Atlanta. Fourteen of the 113 Cup Sequence races at Atlanta noticed the pole winner take the checkered flag.

For no matter motive, probably the most proficient beginning place within the subject at Atlanta is fifth, which has produced extra wins (16) than another beginning place. Clint Bowyer has that beginning spot for Sunday’s race.

Beneath is the breakdown of wins from various beginning positions within the historical past of Cup racing at Atlanta.

Beginning placeSuccessful %Wins
1st12.5 %14
Entrance row23.21 %26
High 555.36 %62
High 1077.68 %87
Exterior High 207.14 %8

The highest 10 starters for Sunday’s race at Atlanta are as follows: 1. Chase Elliott, 2. Aric Almirola, 3. Joey Logano, 4. Kyle Busch, 5. Clint Bowyer, 6. Brad Keselowski, 7. Ryan Blaney, 8. Alex Bowman, 9. Kevin Harvick, 10. Denny Hamlin

MORE: Up to date NASCAR schedule for 2020

NASCAR at Atlanta knowledgeable picks

1. Jimmie Johnson

Profession stats at Atlanta:

  • 5 wins, 14 high fives, 16 high 10s
  • Common end of 11.571 (fourth-best)
  • Common working place of 10.467 (second-best)
  • Driver score of 100.5 (tied with Harvick for greatest)
  • 362 quickest laps run (second-best)
  • 5,131 laps in high 15 (74.7 %) (second-most)
  • 743 high quality passes (third-most)

The motive force who has gone 104 Cup Sequence races and not using a victory has 5 profession wins at Atlanta, probably the most of any driver in Sunday’s subject. Extra importantly, Hendrick Motorsports has proven enough velocity this season, and Johnson himself has 4 top-10 finishes.

Given HMS’ velocity and Johnson’s constructive vibes at this specific observe, his rating 11th within the odds to win Sunday’s race is a strong worth.

2. Kurt Busch

Profession stats at Atlanta:

  • Three wins, seven high fives, 14 high 10s
  • Common end of 12.850 (fifth-best)
  • Common working place of 12.802 (eighth-best)
  • Driver score of 96.9 (fourth-best)
  • 299 quickest laps run (fourth-best)
  • 4,444 laps in high 15 (67.9 %) (fifth-most)
  • 764 high quality passes (second-most)

Busch loves this observe, and given his numbers, we won’t blame him. The No. 1 Chip Ganassi Racing crew has been quick this season, as evidenced by its six top-10 finishes in 9 races. Busch will begin Sunday’s race 12th, a lot excessive sufficient for him to contend for his first win of the season.

3. Kevin Harvick

Profession stats at Atlanta:

  • Two wins, eight high fives, 14 high 10s
  • Common end of 13.476 (seventh-best)
  • Common working place of 11.809 (fifth-best)
  • Driver score of 100.5 (tied with Johnson for greatest)
  • 555 quickest laps run (series-best)
  • 4,643 laps in high 15 (67.6 %) (third-most)
  • 658 high quality passes (fifth-most)

We’ve to go chalk with this final choose, as a result of Harvick and his crew are just too good at Atlanta to depart off the listing. (For what it is price, Brad Keselowski is one other nice choose at Atlanta, however we’re betting in opposition to the continuation of his scorching streak.)

Harvick’s 14 profession top-10 finishes at Atlanta embrace 11 within the final 13 races. He additionally has led an unmatched 960 laps in the final six Atlanta races alone, together with 181 in his 2018 win and 292 of the 325 laps in his 2017 ninth-place run.

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