We’ll begin with a have a look at the GOP-held third District within the western a part of the state, the place Qanon defender Lauren Boebert ousted Republican Rep. Scott Tipton in a June primary shocker and in the end prevailed within the normal election. A number of polls confirmed Trump in peril of dropping the district, and Democrats hoped that Republican issues on the high of the ticket, as nicely Boebert’s poisonous views and multiple run-ins with law enforcement, would give former state Rep. Diane Mitsch Bush a gap. Nonetheless, whereas Trump’s 52-46 efficiency was a substantial collapse from his 52-40 exhibiting final time, it was nonetheless sufficient for Boebert to win by a similar 51-45 margin.
Trump took his two different districts by double digits, although his margin in each additionally declined from 2016. Rep. Ken Buck’s 4th District in japanese Colorado and the Denver exurbs supported Trump 57-41 after backing him 57-34 4 years earlier. In the meantime, Rep. Doug Lamborn’s fifth District within the Colorado Springs space went for Trump 55-42 in comparison with 57-33 in 2016.
We’ll flip subsequent to the 4 Biden constituencies, the closest of which he gained by 19 factors. That was the sixth District in Aurora and Denver’s southern suburbs, which was a serious battleground for a lot of the last decade, with Barack Obama carrying it 52-47 in 2012. The district supported Clinton by a bigger 50-41 whereas nonetheless re-electing GOP Rep. Mike Coffman that yr, however native Republicans took an enormous beating over the next two cycles. Democrat Jason Crow ousted Coffman 54-43 in 2018 and gained with none bother this yr as Biden was prevailing by a hefty 58-39 margin. (Coffman himself managed to land on his toes in 2019 by winning a tight race for mayor of Aurora.)
Crow’s seat has actually virtually caught up with the neighboring seventh District, which started veering sharply to the left greater than 10 years in the past. This constituency, which incorporates the communities of Arvada, Westminster, and Lakewood (the house of the real-life Casa Bonita, Eric Cartman’s favorite restaurant on South Park), was aggressive territory when Democratic Rep. Ed Perlmutter first was elected in 2006, however he hasn’t confronted critical opposition since 2010. The district did backtrack a bit, going from 56-41 Obama to 51-39 Clinton, however Biden took it 60-37 this time.
The areas making up the first and 2nd Districts had been reliably blue even when Republicans had been dominant within the state, they usually stay so right now. Rep. Diana DeGette’s Denver-based 1st District went for Biden 76-22, a rise from Clinton’s 69-23. Rep. Joe Neguse’s Boulder space 2nd District, in the meantime, supported Biden 64-34 in comparison with 56-35 Clinton.
Democrats management the governorship and each chambers of the legislature, however they gained’t be those drawing the brand new maps. Voters approved two independent redistricting commissions, one for Congress and one for the state legislature, in 2018.
P.S. For those who haven’t accomplished so but, you’ll wish to bookmark our complete data set with presidential outcomes by congressional district for all 50 states, which we’re updating constantly.